Irish grocery sales and trips to store increase as inflation hits lowest rate this year

Although the rate is still high, with just a 1% drop since January, we expect to see further gradual decline over the coming months.
24 July 2023
Irish GMS P7 July 2023
Emer Healy 2020

Business Development Manager, Worldpanel Division , Ireland

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Take home grocery sales in Ireland increased by 9.6% in the four weeks to 9 July 2023 as the average price per pack increased by 11.1%, according to our latest data. Shoppers visited stores more often making on average one additional trip compared to the same period last year. 

Although value sales are up, grocery price inflation is the real driving factor behind this rather than increased purchasing. Grocery inflation rose by 14.7% in the 12 weeks to 9 July, but was down from last month’s 15.8%, and a new low this year. 

This is the second month in a row there has been a drop in inflation, which is welcome news for shoppers. Although the rate is still high, with just a 1% drop since January, we expect to see further gradual decline over the coming months. The average annual increase to household spending over the past 12 months has actually been €427.

While shoppers are returning to store more often, they are picking up less volume per trip, while there has also been more out of home dining during summer. 

Shoppers value Irish brands as summer celebrations kick in

The Irish market continues to see stronger own label growth (13.3%) compared to brands (7.6%) as shoppers look to save money. Value own label saw the strongest growth year-on-year at 26.3% with shoppers spending €14.2m more on these ranges. 

However, according to our latest Brand Footprint report, Irish shoppers value home-grown brands, with four out of the top five most chosen brands chosen being Irish. The average Irish household buys of 81 different food and drink brands in a year, showing just how important brands are for Irish consumers. 

Irish consumers have not let the recent wet weather dampen their spirits with typical barbeque categories performing well as consumers spent an additional €3.6m on chilled burgers and grills, and ice cream combined.

With children off school and Irish shoppers taking time off for the summer, typical items for homemade lunches and picnics such as cooked meats, yoghurts, chilled prepared salads, and hot beverages all saw a significant boost in sales, up €6.1m year-on-year. With all these outdoor summer celebrations in full swing over July, Irish consumers also raised a toast with alcohol sales up 11.2% year-on-year.

Online sales remained strong over the 12 weeks, up 6% year-on-year with shoppers spending an additional €9m on the platform, a significant boost on June’s increase of €3.5m. More frequent trips online boosted its performance contributing an additional €8.5m.

Irish retailer performance update

For another month in a row, Dunnes, Tesco and Lidl all grew ahead of the total market in terms of value this month. The gap between the retailers is closing as it becomes even more competitive for the highest share. Just 0.1% separates Dunnes and Tesco, while last August saw a similar situation between the two retailers. 

Dunnes holds the highest share amongst all retailers at 22.7% with growth of 14.5% year-on-year. This growth is down to shoppers returning to store more often (+2.9% year-on-year) together with a 2.6ppt increase in new shoppers in-store. 

Tesco holds 22.6% of the market with growth of 13.6% year-on-year. Tesco has the strongest frequency growth amongst all retailers, up 18.4% year-on-year, contributing an additional €106.1m to overall performance along with a 0.3ppt increase in new shoppers in-store. 

SuperValu holds 20.7% of the market and growth of 6.7%. SuperValu shoppers make the most trips in store when compared to all of the retailers, an average of 23.5 trips, which is up 12% compared to the same time last year.  

Lidl hit a new record share of 13.9% with growth of 14.4% year-on-year. More frequent trips contributed to an additional €47.2m to overall performance. With strong market growth, Lidl holds the potential to hit 14% market share by the end of the summer. 

Aldi holds 12.5% and growth of 9.7% year-on-year. A strong boost in more frequent trips has contributed an additional €41.6m to its overall performance. 

DataViz Ireland July 2023 P7

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